Main | Encouraging A Prediction Market for the latest Hansen/Cowen Disagreement »

August 01, 2007



This is great. I sometimes feel you are more insightful than the official contributors to Overcoming Bias. I'll spread the word to others to check out your blog.

Before you stated you wanted to "maximize your odds of persistent", but I didn't realize you actually wanted to "live forever". Doesn't the Second Law of Thermodynamics or (a select few, in the very long term) the scenarios listed here rule that out?

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