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April 26, 2008

My first forray into being a bayesian Howard Hughes

Starting this Friday, I've been wearing a bicycle helmet at home to minimize likelihood of head injury. I have a few concerns:

1. Whether the very effort of putting on the helmet isn't worth it to maximize my persistence odds (should I spend the same -rather minimal- time and energy making money, or studying applied math, or safety proofing my life in other ways, etc.)

2. Whether I'm wearing my helmet correctly. As part of that, am I increasing my odds of strangulation death more than I'm reducing my odds of head injury death.

I may expand this to wearing a bicycle helmet in public situations were I have a high likelihood of anonymity.

Comments welcome!

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Comments

If you want to avoid embarrassment you can wear bike shorts and shirts/jackets.

On a completely unrelated topic Robert Lindsay is giving pointers on which drugs are the most dangerous in case you're looking to experiment (doubtful, I know). Razib is discussing brain-enhancing drugs here.

Trolling IRL.

Probably safer and much more convenient
http://www.productwiki.com/d3o-ribcap/

Michael,
Safer? The article itself seems to contradict that claim. But it seems perfect for social situations where it would be inappropriate to wear a helmet.

Do you wear a ribcap or are you planning to? Pretty much 24/7 or only in certain situations?

I don't wear one but I am planning to. Only outside. Probably depends on how well it works with my hair. (maybe a buzz cut would fix this problem) Helmets can strangle and impede vision and hearing. Ribcap should provide much of the benefit without these impairments.

Why only outside?

Indoor head injuries seem absurdly rare to worry about.

Michael, you have stats comparing indoor and outdoor head injuries? Particularly helpful if we can separate out sports and dangerous jobs related head injuries.

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